#Polymarket

Polymarket traders cut Clarity Act passage odds to record low as Senate delay drags on

Polymarket traders have slashed the probability of the Clarity Act becoming law by year-end to 32%, a significant decline from the 82% peak observed in February. This legislative stagnation stems from persistent Senate delays and a lack of bipartisan consensus regarding essential ethics provisions. Senator Ruben Gallego and other Democrats continue to withhold support, citing concerns over potential conflicts of interest for public officials holding digital assets. The Clarity Act is intended to establish a definitive regulatory framework by delineating the jurisdictional boundaries between the SEC and the CFTC. Industry leaders argue that this legislation is vital to replace current regulation-by-enforcement with a stable, predictable rulebook that encourages domestic investment. Despite the legislative uncertainty, the broader digital asset market shows resilience, with RWA perpetual volumes reaching a record $311 billion in June. The failure to advance this bill underscores the ongoing friction between crypto-native innovation and traditional legislative processes in the United States.

CoinDesk·3h ago