Is Trump using the CLARITY Act as leverage in broader negotiations?

The CLARITY Act faces a significant legislative impasse as its July 4 deadline passes without approval, nearly a year after the U.S. House of Representatives initially passed the bill. The delay is largely attributed to President Donald Trump utilizing the legislation as leverage within broader political negotiations, specifically linking his signature to the passage of the SAVE America Act. This strategic maneuvering has created a Senate scheduling bottleneck, further complicated by the cancellation of the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act signing ceremony. Senator Tim Scott remains a vocal proponent for the bill, emphasizing that prolonged regulatory ambiguity risks driving the crypto ecosystem toward jurisdictions with more established legal frameworks. Despite bipartisan support from the Senate Banking Committee, the bill's momentum is waning as lawmakers shift focus toward upcoming reelection campaigns. Galaxy Research has consequently downgraded the probability of the bill's passage from 60% to 50%. Failure to secure the necessary sixty votes before the August recess could delay the legislation until the 2027 congressional session, creating significant uncertainty for the U.S. digital asset market.